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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+4.14vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+3.82vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.59+3.41vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.92vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.41+1.54vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.11-1.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University-0.07+1.16vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.58+1.73vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.43-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.80-4.80vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.82vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-0.61vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University-0.58-3.48vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston University1.0112.5%1st Place
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5.82Bowdoin College0.059.2%1st Place
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6.41Fairfield University0.597.0%1st Place
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4.92Northeastern University1.1814.2%1st Place
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6.54Brown University0.417.8%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University1.1114.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University-0.074.8%1st Place
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9.73Bates College-0.582.5%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University0.437.3%1st Place
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5.2University of Vermont0.8012.0%1st Place
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9.18University of New Hampshire-0.372.6%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.2%1st Place
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9.52Salve Regina University-0.582.9%1st Place
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11.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 14.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Brayden Benesch | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 10.4% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| cole capizzo | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 21.3% | 30.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 10.4% |
| Cole Perra | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.