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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.33+9.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.10+8.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.78+3.75vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.45+4.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.85+1.57vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont4.60+0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.49vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.49-0.64vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92+0.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-1.02vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University5.19-6.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.89-6.83vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston4.76-7.07vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.76-3.79vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.98-5.57vs Predicted
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18Harvard University4.52-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.450.1%1st Place
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7.57Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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13.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.36Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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6.16Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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11.43Stanford University3.980.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hornos | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| David Thompson | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Robert Vann | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Gary Herring | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 24.5% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Juan Maegli | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 16.0% |
| Justin Doane | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.