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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.20+4.33vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.30vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+3.63vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+2.05vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90+0.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-3.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74-1.56vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.42vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.07-1.70vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-1.84vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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6.63Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.05Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.09University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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3.11Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.44Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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9.16Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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5.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Lucas | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% |
| Maeve White | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 28.3% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 20.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 31.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.