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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.84+7.21vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+6.20vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+3.12vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+4.08vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.17+5.47vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+0.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.78+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+1.86vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.75-0.72vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-3.36vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.78-3.02vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.01vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.65-0.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-3.92vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.03-7.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-6.32vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.32-3.79vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.19-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.847.2%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University1.676.6%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University2.4110.2%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College1.957.4%1st Place
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10.47Northeastern University1.173.5%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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8.48Brown University1.785.5%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island2.105.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University1.755.4%1st Place
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6.64Boston College2.569.8%1st Place
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7.98North Carolina State University1.786.6%1st Place
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14.01Olin College of Engineering0.221.1%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.652.0%1st Place
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10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.243.6%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University2.036.6%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.415.4%1st Place
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13.21Salve Regina University1.321.8%1st Place
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14.9University of Texas0.191.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Olmsted | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Eastman | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Justin Lim | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Davies | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 25.0% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 11.8% |
| Alex Abate | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 14.8% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.