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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.62vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+5.50vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+4.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.58+4.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+1.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+3.33vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99+1.64vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+1.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82-1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.77-2.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.24-0.62vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.18-1.24vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.83-1.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.48vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-3.59vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.05-0.83vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.88-9.08vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.41-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.3%1st Place
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7.5Yale University1.907.6%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.8%1st Place
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8.77Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University2.128.7%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University1.435.0%1st Place
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8.64North Carolina State University1.996.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College1.605.2%1st Place
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7.98Brown University1.826.7%1st Place
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7.35University of Rhode Island1.778.7%1st Place
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10.38Northeastern University1.244.2%1st Place
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10.76Dartmouth College1.183.1%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.5%1st Place
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11.41Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
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15.17Olin College of Engineering-0.050.9%1st Place
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7.92Stanford University1.887.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Texas0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Scott Harris | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Colin Snow | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 21.6% | 37.8% |
| Berta Puig | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 19.4% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.