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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+6.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+3.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+0.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.74+2.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.31vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.14-0.53vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.71-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.90-2.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.32-1.40vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.81-1.06vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.07-2.49vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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3.14Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.56Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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5.47Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.94Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.51College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 9.2% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 27.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Dominique Wright | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Kate Klement | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 29.5% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 22.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.