← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.77+6.25vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+5.24vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.68vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.90+3.59vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.99+3.81vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.24+4.35vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.82+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College0.83+3.40vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.12-1.96vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University0.83+1.35vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University1.88-3.23vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.43-2.51vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-2.56vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering-0.05+0.96vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College1.18-4.28vs Predicted
-
16Boston College1.58-7.29vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College1.60-8.24vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas0.41-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.25University of Rhode Island1.778.8%1st Place
-
7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.6%1st Place
-
5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.6%1st Place
-
7.59Yale University1.908.0%1st Place
-
8.81North Carolina State University1.994.8%1st Place
-
10.35Northeastern University1.243.5%1st Place
-
8.06Brown University1.827.2%1st Place
-
11.4Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
-
7.04Tufts University2.128.1%1st Place
-
11.35Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
-
7.77Stanford University1.887.0%1st Place
-
9.49Tufts University1.434.9%1st Place
-
10.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.1%1st Place
-
14.96Olin College of Engineering-0.051.5%1st Place
-
10.72Dartmouth College1.183.4%1st Place
-
8.71Boston College1.585.1%1st Place
-
8.76Dartmouth College1.605.9%1st Place
-
15.37University of Texas0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 4.4% |
| Berta Puig | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Lars Osell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Colin Snow | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 21.6% | 35.5% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 20.2% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.