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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.90+5.14vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+3.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+0.09vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.31vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.07+3.25vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.71+0.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-1.87vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-2.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.62vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-3.59vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.12-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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5.36Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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3.09Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.13College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.11Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Wisconsin2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Wright | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 27.9% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 19.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Maeve White | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 29.0% |
| Kate Klement | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.