← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.10+2.05vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.71+3.42vs Predicted
-
4Washington College1.81+4.57vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College3.14+0.15vs Predicted
-
6Boston University2.74+0.16vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.20-2.18vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston2.07-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.95vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.90-4.40vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.92-5.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.05Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
-
7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
6.42Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.57Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
5.15Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
6.16Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
-
4.82College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.64College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
-
6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
5.6University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
-
5.5Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 26.2% | 22.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 35.3% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
| Dominique Wright | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| Maeve White | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.