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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+6.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+5.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.60+5.46vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.99+4.67vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.24+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+3.47vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.77+0.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.38vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.83+2.42vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.18+0.64vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.88-3.14vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.58-3.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.64vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.83-3.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.82-8.02vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.05-1.77vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.41-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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7.69Yale University1.907.3%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College1.606.4%1st Place
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8.67North Carolina State University1.995.5%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.243.8%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University1.434.7%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island1.778.9%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3213.0%1st Place
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11.42Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
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10.64Dartmouth College1.183.4%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University1.886.2%1st Place
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8.74Boston College1.586.6%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.3%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.223.4%1st Place
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11.4Connecticut College0.833.4%1st Place
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7.98Brown University1.826.8%1st Place
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15.23Olin College of Engineering-0.050.8%1st Place
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15.34University of Texas0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Scott Harris | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Berta Puig | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lars Osell | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Colin Snow | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 22.8% | 36.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 21.1% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.