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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.03vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.90+2.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.15vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20-0.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+0.17vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92-1.50vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71-1.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.84vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.07-2.33vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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4.99College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.09Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.67College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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8.18Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 26.6% | 22.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Dominique Wright | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Maeve White | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% |
| Katherine Baker | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 21.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.