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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+7.61vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.99+6.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+3.73vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+5.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+2.29vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90+1.62vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.18+3.63vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60+0.73vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.24+0.37vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.77-3.39vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-0.66vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.88-5.13vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.58vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-3.59vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.82-7.86vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.05-1.82vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.41-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Boston College1.585.9%1st Place
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8.76North Carolina State University1.995.5%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University2.129.4%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.435.9%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University1.907.4%1st Place
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10.63Dartmouth College1.184.1%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College1.604.5%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3212.6%1st Place
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10.37Northeastern University1.243.6%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island1.777.4%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College0.832.9%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University1.886.8%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.224.2%1st Place
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11.41Salve Regina University0.833.0%1st Place
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8.14Brown University1.827.0%1st Place
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15.18Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
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15.31University of Texas0.410.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Scott Harris | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Berta Puig | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lars Osell | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 23.4% | 35.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.