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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+6.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+5.36vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+5.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+4.31vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99+2.73vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.88+0.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82+0.06vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-1.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-3.01vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.18-0.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.24-1.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.83-1.52vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-4.87vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.05-0.02vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.60-3.16vs Predicted
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17University of Texas0.41-1.62vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College1.60-9.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.3%1st Place
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7.36University of Rhode Island1.777.3%1st Place
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8.54Boston College1.587.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.8%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.435.3%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University1.995.9%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University1.886.7%1st Place
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8.06Brown University1.827.0%1st Place
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7.72Yale University1.907.0%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University2.129.4%1st Place
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10.73Dartmouth College1.183.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.243.9%1st Place
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11.48Salve Regina University0.833.1%1st Place
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9.13Fordham University1.535.0%1st Place
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14.98Olin College of Engineering-0.050.8%1st Place
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12.84Connecticut College0.602.2%1st Place
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15.38University of Texas0.411.2%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College1.605.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Scott Harris | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Berta Puig | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Michael Burns | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Colin Snow | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 35.2% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 21.9% | 38.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.