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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+2.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.71+4.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.15vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.26vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.90-0.23vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.20-2.23vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14-3.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-3.25vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.07-2.30vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Yale University4.100.3%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida2.900.1%1st Place
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4.77College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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4.99Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.75Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston2.070.0%1st Place
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8.24Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 26.0% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 15.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Dominique Wright | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Maeve White | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Baker | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 22.7% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.