Race 1B

charleston-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Ellis 6.0% 5.3% 7.1% 7.0% 6.8% 8.8% 8.1% 11.6% 13.2% 11.4% 9.2% 5.5%
Katia DaSilva 12.8% 12.3% 14.0% 11.3% 12.3% 11.3% 9.2% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.7%
Kayla Gibson 8.7% 7.0% 8.4% 8.8% 9.1% 9.8% 10.7% 11.1% 9.3% 10.1% 4.9% 2.1%
Marly Isler 6.0% 6.2% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 9.3% 9.1% 11.7% 10.7% 8.5% 7.9% 4.1%
Solvig Sayre 6.0% 7.7% 6.8% 8.6% 9.9% 9.6% 7.5% 9.9% 10.8% 10.4% 8.3% 4.5%
Colleen Hartman 5.2% 5.1% 6.6% 6.7% 5.7% 9.7% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 12.7% 5.8%
Sarah Mackey 6.6% 8.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.2% 9.5% 10.1% 7.3% 11.1% 11.9% 7.7% 2.9%
Hanna Vincent 14.5% 14.2% 10.2% 12.9% 10.6% 8.2% 9.6% 8.4% 4.4% 4.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Lily Katz 17.1% 16.4% 14.8% 12.5% 10.7% 8.0% 8.5% 5.5% 3.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Leslie Poole 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 3.5% 3.2% 5.4% 6.8% 10.3% 21.0% 39.2%
Hannah Polster 13.0% 12.3% 11.5% 10.9% 12.9% 9.1% 10.2% 7.2% 6.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Hannah Schmidt 2.1% 2.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 4.4% 6.5% 8.0% 9.8% 22.7% 33.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.