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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.77+6.36vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+4.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.18+6.79vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+0.64vs Predicted
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6Stanford University1.88+1.78vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99+1.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.82-0.25vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-0.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-4.05vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.24-1.85vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.53-3.96vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.83-2.60vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.60-2.23vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.05-0.78vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.58-8.11vs Predicted
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18University of Texas0.41-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36University of Rhode Island1.777.2%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College1.606.0%1st Place
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7.74Yale University1.907.2%1st Place
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10.79Dartmouth College1.183.9%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.7%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University1.887.4%1st Place
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8.77North Carolina State University1.995.7%1st Place
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7.75Brown University1.827.3%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.3%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University1.434.7%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University2.1210.3%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University1.244.0%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University1.535.3%1st Place
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11.4Salve Regina University0.833.0%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College0.601.9%1st Place
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15.22Olin College of Engineering-0.050.9%1st Place
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8.89Boston College1.585.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Texas0.411.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Harris | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Michael Burns | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 9.1% |
| Colin Snow | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 36.8% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.