Race 2B

charleston-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Hanna Vincent 13.4% 11.9% 11.7% 13.0% 10.7% 10.3% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Solvig Sayre 5.8% 7.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.0% 9.4% 8.3% 11.3% 10.9% 12.6% 6.8% 3.8%
Lily Katz 17.2% 12.8% 14.1% 12.8% 12.1% 8.7% 9.0% 6.0% 4.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Katia DaSilva 12.5% 14.9% 14.1% 11.9% 10.6% 9.4% 9.8% 5.8% 5.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.7%
Leslie Poole 1.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 5.0% 6.6% 9.5% 20.6% 40.8%
Kayla Ellis 6.6% 4.9% 7.2% 6.4% 6.7% 8.9% 10.5% 10.4% 10.9% 12.7% 10.6% 4.2%
Kayla Gibson 8.2% 9.5% 9.7% 9.0% 7.9% 9.7% 11.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.8% 6.2% 1.7%
Sarah Mackey 7.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.5% 8.6% 8.7% 7.9% 10.5% 11.2% 9.9% 7.8% 4.7%
Marly Isler 6.2% 6.9% 8.7% 8.8% 9.7% 10.5% 9.5% 9.6% 9.7% 10.4% 7.8% 2.2%
Colleen Hartman 6.4% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 10.4% 11.7% 11.7% 11.9% 5.8%
Hannah Polster 12.6% 14.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.0% 10.6% 9.0% 6.7% 6.9% 5.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Hannah Schmidt 2.2% 2.6% 2.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.0% 7.0% 7.5% 10.2% 22.4% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.