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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+5.86vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.77+5.39vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.88+4.94vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.24+6.51vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.99+3.81vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.83+5.49vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.53+2.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-0.61vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.05+6.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-1.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.43-1.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.22-5.71vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.90-5.36vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.60-5.07vs Predicted
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15University of Texas0.41+0.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-10.11vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.18-6.25vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.60-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Tufts University2.128.9%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island1.777.3%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University1.886.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University1.243.3%1st Place
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8.81North Carolina State University1.994.8%1st Place
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11.49Salve Regina University0.832.8%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University1.534.8%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.8%1st Place
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15.11Olin College of Engineering-0.050.7%1st Place
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8.87Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.434.9%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.2210.2%1st Place
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7.64Yale University1.907.6%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College1.605.6%1st Place
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15.43University of Texas0.410.8%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.7%1st Place
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10.75Dartmouth College1.184.3%1st Place
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13.08Connecticut College0.601.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Scott Harris | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 4.5% |
| Michael Burns | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Maks Groom | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.4% | 35.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Flores | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 19.6% | 40.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.