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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+3.70vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.74+4.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93+3.04vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.34+5.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+1.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.89vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.73-0.59vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-3.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.47vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-5.30vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24-3.00vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.41Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.22Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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4.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.7Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.59Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 21.1% | 38.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Lily Katz | 17.6% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.