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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+5.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+4.54vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+3.62vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+0.64vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.25vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.74+0.55vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-2.86vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.34+1.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.24-2.21vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-6.18vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.62Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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4.14Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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9.77University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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7.79University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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4.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.54Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Katia DaSilva | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 14.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Lily Katz | 18.4% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 40.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 22.5% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.