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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.58+7.77vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.60+6.90vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.88+4.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.18+6.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.77+2.42vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.99+2.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.20vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.05+6.74vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12-2.85vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-4.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.43-2.44vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-2.54vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.83-2.66vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.90-7.38vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.53-7.01vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.83-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77Boston College1.584.8%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College1.605.5%1st Place
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7.95Stanford University1.887.0%1st Place
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10.63Dartmouth College1.183.4%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.776.8%1st Place
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8.61North Carolina State University1.995.9%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3212.7%1st Place
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14.74Olin College of Engineering-0.050.9%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.937.0%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University2.128.3%1st Place
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6.32Brown University2.2210.6%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University1.435.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.244.0%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College0.833.0%1st Place
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7.62Yale University1.907.0%1st Place
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8.99Fordham University1.535.5%1st Place
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11.34Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Berta Puig | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Harris | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 52.8% |
| Maks Groom | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Stang | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Flores | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 9.3% |
| Nathan Sih | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Michael Burns | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.