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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida4.10+8.78vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.60+5.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.35vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.78+2.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.85+1.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.93+4.22vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.52+0.61vs Predicted
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9Tufts University4.33+0.47vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-0.92vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.31vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.49-2.83vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-5.74vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.50-1.45vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-3.85vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.89-8.80vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.59vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.76-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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10.78University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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11.22College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University4.330.0%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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13.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.17Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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12.55Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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11.65Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hall | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Robert Vann | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Barrows | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Gary Herring | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 26.6% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nick Dugdale | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.