← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College0.05+4.82vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.11+2.81vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University-0.07+5.14vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.01+1.32vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18-0.13vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University0.59+0.37vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University0.43-0.40vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont0.80-2.95vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.41-2.30vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+1.19vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-0.37-1.95vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University-0.58-2.37vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-0.58-3.17vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.82Bowdoin College0.0510.0%1st Place
-
4.81Tufts University1.1114.1%1st Place
-
8.14Harvard University-0.074.7%1st Place
-
5.32Boston University1.0111.5%1st Place
-
4.87Northeastern University1.1813.0%1st Place
-
6.37Fairfield University0.598.5%1st Place
-
6.6Tufts University0.436.7%1st Place
-
5.05University of Vermont0.8012.6%1st Place
-
6.7Brown University0.417.4%1st Place
-
11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.6%1st Place
-
9.05University of New Hampshire-0.373.4%1st Place
-
9.63Salve Regina University-0.583.0%1st Place
-
9.83Bates College-0.582.5%1st Place
-
11.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brayden Benesch | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 29.8% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 10.9% |
| Cole Perra | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 19.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.