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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+5.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.93vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.74+2.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.34+3.90vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-2.79vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.76-1.64vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.46-4.57vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.55vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.24-2.99vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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4.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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6.55College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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4.21Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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6.36Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.43Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.45Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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8.01University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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9.53Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 42.2% |
| Lily Katz | 17.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 13.2% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Alison Knoles | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 21.1% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.