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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kayla Gibson 8.4% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 9.4% 10.3% 9.9% 10.8% 10.6% 8.7% 5.4% 2.2%
Hanna Vincent 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 13.2% 11.6% 10.3% 9.9% 6.8% 6.1% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Kayla Ellis 6.1% 5.9% 6.3% 7.5% 7.7% 8.4% 9.1% 10.9% 12.2% 11.8% 10.9% 3.2%
Sarah Mackey 6.2% 6.1% 8.1% 8.0% 10.1% 10.1% 9.3% 11.8% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 4.1%
Hannah Polster 14.0% 12.9% 12.6% 11.7% 10.2% 11.0% 8.7% 6.7% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Leslie Poole 1.5% 1.7% 1.9% 2.5% 3.6% 3.3% 3.3% 5.0% 6.5% 9.9% 18.6% 42.2%
Lily Katz 17.1% 14.8% 15.1% 11.8% 11.0% 9.6% 8.1% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Marly Isler 7.7% 8.6% 6.4% 8.9% 8.8% 8.4% 10.7% 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 6.0% 3.4%
Katia DaSilva 13.2% 15.5% 14.5% 12.5% 10.3% 11.4% 8.4% 5.9% 4.8% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Solvig Sayre 7.3% 7.7% 7.3% 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 9.5% 10.7% 11.0% 10.5% 7.4% 2.8%
Alison Knoles 3.6% 3.3% 5.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 10.3% 10.0% 15.9% 17.2% 9.4%
Hannah Schmidt 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.3% 5.2% 6.1% 9.5% 12.5% 21.1% 31.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.