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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.99+7.77vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.88+6.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.77+4.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+3.32vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.53+4.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+0.13vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.90-0.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.43+0.58vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.58-1.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.83+0.33vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.83-0.86vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.05+1.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.24-3.60vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-8.60vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.60-7.08vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.18-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.77North Carolina State University1.996.1%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University1.887.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island1.778.3%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.938.2%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.533.9%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.6%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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7.64Yale University1.907.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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8.8Boston College1.585.5%1st Place
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11.33Salve Regina University0.832.6%1st Place
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11.14Connecticut College0.832.8%1st Place
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14.69Olin College of Engineering-0.050.9%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.244.2%1st Place
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6.4Brown University2.2210.3%1st Place
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8.92Dartmouth College1.605.6%1st Place
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10.56Dartmouth College1.183.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Harris | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Berta Puig | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
Parker Colantuono | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Maks Groom | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Michael Burns | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
Nicholas Reeser | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Nathan Sih | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
Pearl Lattanzi | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 9.7% |
AnaLucia Clarkson | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 8.9% |
Colin Snow | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 54.1% |
Caleb Niles | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
Mason Stang | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Taylor Eastman | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
Nicholas Hurley | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.