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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.93+5.10vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.74+4.59vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+6.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34+4.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.26vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.24-0.27vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.46-4.52vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.73-3.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-3.95vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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9.45Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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4.73Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.89University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.2%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.73University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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4.48Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.55Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.26Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Gibson | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Mackey | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 31.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 39.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 15.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Alison Knoles | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 9.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Lily Katz | 16.6% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.