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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+7.90vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering-0.05+12.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.58+5.73vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.88+3.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.53+3.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.18+4.55vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.99+1.57vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+1.13vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.90-1.45vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.83+0.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-6.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.24-2.76vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.77-6.58vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-8.09vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.22-9.81vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University-0.02-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Dartmouth College1.605.2%1st Place
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14.51Olin College of Engineering-0.051.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston College1.584.9%1st Place
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7.72Stanford University1.886.8%1st Place
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8.97Fordham University1.534.8%1st Place
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10.55Dartmouth College1.182.9%1st Place
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8.57North Carolina State University1.995.2%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University1.434.7%1st Place
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7.55Yale University1.906.9%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.939.2%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College0.833.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3211.9%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University1.243.4%1st Place
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7.42University of Rhode Island1.778.2%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.128.8%1st Place
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6.19Brown University2.2211.9%1st Place
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13.58Salve Regina University-0.021.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor Eastman | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Colin Snow | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 17.8% | 44.7% |
Libby Redmond | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
Berta Puig | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Michael Burns | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
Nicholas Hurley | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
Scott Harris | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
Jack Flores | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
Nathan Sih | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Maks Groom | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
AnaLucia Clarkson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 6.0% |
Nicholas Reeser | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Caleb Niles | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
Parker Colantuono | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Trevor Davis | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Mason Stang | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Gregory Dillon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.