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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+3.79vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+4.55vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.93+3.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.79vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.74+1.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.97vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.63-2.74vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.73-1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-4.41vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.51-2.86vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.34-0.99vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.26Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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6.55Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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4.59Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.64Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Marly Isler | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.6% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Lily Katz | 17.2% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Hartman | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 6.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 21.9% | 40.9% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.