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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+3.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+4.58vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.51+3.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.34+4.94vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93+0.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-0.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.27vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.63-4.87vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-0.52vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.74-4.25vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.69Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.13College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.13Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
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9.48Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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4.76Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Marly Isler | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.9% | 41.9% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.5% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 16.7% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 21.1% | 32.5% |
| Sarah Mackey | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.