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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+8.57vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.69+7.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+5.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+1.88vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.61+2.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+0.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.50+2.19vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.12vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.64-4.55vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-1.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+1.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-2.02vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.26-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.70-2.79vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.27-0.55vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.69-0.72vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.80-10.16vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.27-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.5%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University1.694.2%1st Place
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8.17Brown University1.556.3%1st Place
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5.88Dartmouth College2.1010.8%1st Place
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7.75Boston College1.616.4%1st Place
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6.85Yale University1.868.6%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.504.5%1st Place
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9.12Salve Regina University1.314.7%1st Place
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4.45Stanford University2.6418.8%1st Place
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8.11Northwestern University1.495.5%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.9%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.1%1st Place
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9.49North Carolina State University1.264.4%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island0.702.4%1st Place
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14.45Dartmouth College-0.271.5%1st Place
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15.28Olin College of Engineering-0.690.8%1st Place
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6.84University of Rhode Island1.8010.0%1st Place
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12.77Connecticut College0.271.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Young | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 18.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 7.2% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| John Mason | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 26.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 41.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.