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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.34+8.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.74+4.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.96vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.83vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.73+1.62vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.51+0.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.93-1.98vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-4.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.46-5.33vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.52-1.30vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.63-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston2.740.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.62Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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6.56Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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6.02College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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4.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.67Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.7Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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4.35Stanford University3.630.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 20.9% | 41.5% |
| Sarah Mackey | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Marly Isler | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 21.5% | 34.3% |
| Lily Katz | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.