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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.55+4.99vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+3.90vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.69+4.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50+3.03vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College-0.27+7.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.78vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+0.88vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.26-0.34vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-2.01vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.49-4.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-4.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-2.20vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.80-8.99vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.70-5.55vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Stanford University2.6417.6%1st Place
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6.84Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.556.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College1.617.3%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University1.694.8%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University1.504.9%1st Place
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14.4Dartmouth College-0.271.1%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College2.1010.4%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.9%1st Place
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9.66North Carolina State University1.264.2%1st Place
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8.99Salve Regina University1.315.9%1st Place
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7.94Northwestern University1.495.8%1st Place
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12.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.8%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.5%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.271.9%1st Place
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7.01University of Rhode Island1.808.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island0.702.5%1st Place
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15.05Olin College of Engineering-0.690.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 17.6% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 20.9% | 26.1% |
| Sarah Young | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Shea Smith | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 7.3% |
| Jack Derry | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.