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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+5.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+7.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.69+6.52vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+5.77vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.64-0.63vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10-0.19vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49+1.17vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31+1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.61-1.01vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.55-1.95vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.69+4.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-2.27vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College-0.27+1.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.74vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.27-2.29vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.26-6.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.80-10.20vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island0.70-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Yale University1.868.6%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.504.3%1st Place
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9.52Northeastern University1.694.2%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.6%1st Place
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4.37Stanford University2.6417.1%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College2.1011.8%1st Place
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8.17Northwestern University1.496.5%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University1.314.5%1st Place
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7.99Boston College1.616.9%1st Place
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8.05Brown University1.555.5%1st Place
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15.24Olin College of Engineering-0.691.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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14.5Dartmouth College-0.271.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.0%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College0.272.2%1st Place
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9.61North Carolina State University1.264.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island1.809.3%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island0.702.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Graham Ness | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 40.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 19.7% | 27.1% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Mason | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.