Race 11B

charleston-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Katia DaSilva 13.2% 12.6% 11.0% 13.2% 13.0% 10.0% 8.3% 7.4% 5.1% 3.7% 1.9% 0.6%
Hannah Polster 13.1% 13.8% 11.7% 12.7% 11.4% 9.3% 9.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.4% 2.0% 0.5%
Colleen Hartman 6.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.0% 6.9% 6.6% 8.1% 10.7% 13.5% 13.4% 11.5% 5.3%
Kayla Ellis 4.9% 6.1% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 9.4% 10.0% 10.6% 10.5% 9.9% 11.4% 5.3%
Hanna Vincent 13.7% 13.1% 13.2% 10.8% 9.7% 10.1% 9.8% 6.6% 5.3% 4.6% 2.6% 0.5%
Marly Isler 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 12.1% 10.2% 10.9% 8.5% 2.4%
Kayla Gibson 8.8% 9.2% 8.6% 8.9% 10.7% 8.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.3% 8.9% 4.5% 2.8%
Sarah Mackey 8.0% 7.3% 6.9% 8.1% 7.9% 11.4% 7.6% 10.4% 11.2% 9.9% 8.1% 3.2%
Solvig Sayre 6.0% 6.7% 8.3% 9.0% 9.9% 8.6% 9.9% 10.0% 11.7% 11.1% 6.3% 2.5%
Lily Katz 15.9% 15.0% 15.6% 11.6% 11.1% 10.4% 7.8% 5.4% 3.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Leslie Poole 1.9% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 3.3% 4.1% 4.2% 6.4% 10.5% 20.9% 42.0%
Hannah Schmidt 1.4% 3.2% 3.0% 1.7% 1.6% 3.4% 5.0% 5.5% 7.7% 11.5% 21.2% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.