← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+8.63vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.64+2.22vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.69+6.16vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.50+4.92vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.49+3.20vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.61+1.70vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.55+0.88vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.80-1.35vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University1.31-0.02vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.45vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering-0.69+4.04vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.86-5.36vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College-0.27+1.29vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College2.10-8.29vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University0.91-2.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island0.70-4.83vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-4.91vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College0.34-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.6%1st Place
-
4.22Stanford University2.6417.5%1st Place
-
9.16Northeastern University1.694.4%1st Place
-
8.92Tufts University1.505.0%1st Place
-
8.2Northwestern University1.495.9%1st Place
-
7.7Boston College1.616.4%1st Place
-
7.88Brown University1.556.8%1st Place
-
6.65University of Rhode Island1.809.6%1st Place
-
8.98Salve Regina University1.314.7%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.1%1st Place
-
15.04Olin College of Engineering-0.690.7%1st Place
-
6.64Yale University1.868.1%1st Place
-
14.29Dartmouth College-0.271.2%1st Place
-
5.71Dartmouth College2.1013.4%1st Place
-
12.54North Carolina State University0.912.1%1st Place
-
11.17University of Rhode Island0.703.0%1st Place
-
12.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.4%1st Place
-
12.64Connecticut College0.341.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Wyatt | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.5% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Shea Smith | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Graham Ness | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 36.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 25.2% |
| Sarah Young | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.3% |
| John Mason | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.2% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.