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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.54+2.30vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.14+4.33vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.32-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.09-0.53vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo0.20-2.98vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.71-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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6.33University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.39Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.68University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.31Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.5Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rush | 20.7% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Zach Nerod | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 41.5% |
| Jack Greve | 20.0% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 17.1% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 6.3% |
| Addison Amstutz | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| Colin Mackay | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.