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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.48vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+5.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.69+5.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+4.22vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.10-0.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.50+1.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.61-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.70+1.57vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.34+2.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-1.70vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.33-3.64vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.49-5.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.80-7.51vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.27-1.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-4.39vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Stanford University2.6418.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University1.868.3%1st Place
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8.61Salve Regina University1.315.3%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.694.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.3%1st Place
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5.68Dartmouth College2.1011.9%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University1.505.0%1st Place
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7.5Boston College1.616.4%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island0.703.4%1st Place
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12.12Connecticut College0.342.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.084.3%1st Place
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8.36Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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7.46Northwestern University1.497.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island1.809.0%1st Place
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13.64Dartmouth College-0.271.1%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.6%1st Place
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14.16Olin College of Engineering-0.691.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 18.1% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Young | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Graham Ness | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| John Mason | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 11.3% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Shea Smith | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 27.5% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.