← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.51+2.43vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame0.32+1.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Toledo0.20+1.11vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University0.54-0.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-0.66+0.73vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.30-0.97vs Predicted
-
7University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.33vs Predicted
-
8Marquette University-0.71-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.43Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
-
3.88University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
-
4.11University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.47Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
-
5.73University of Michigan-0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.03Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
-
4.67University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
-
5.68Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 20.6% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 15.5% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Colin Mackay | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Rush | 19.7% | 19.9% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| James Hewitt | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 21.3% | 26.7% |
| Abigail Barnes | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.