← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.18+3.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.01+3.19vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.59+3.24vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College0.05+1.91vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.58+4.72vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.43+0.61vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.11-2.18vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University-0.07+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.41-2.22vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.87vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20+0.34vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University-0.58-2.33vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.80-7.88vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93Northeastern University1.1813.9%1st Place
-
5.19Boston University1.0111.8%1st Place
-
6.24Fairfield University0.597.9%1st Place
-
5.91Bowdoin College0.059.9%1st Place
-
9.72Bates College-0.583.0%1st Place
-
6.61Tufts University0.437.5%1st Place
-
4.82Tufts University1.1113.8%1st Place
-
8.06Harvard University-0.075.0%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University0.416.8%1st Place
-
9.13University of New Hampshire-0.372.9%1st Place
-
11.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.201.6%1st Place
-
9.67Salve Regina University-0.582.4%1st Place
-
5.12University of Vermont0.8012.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Nash | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Gabby Collins | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| cole capizzo | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 30.8% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 9.6% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Perra | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 20.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.