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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+5.25vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont4.60+6.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.52+5.93vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.50+8.73vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+3.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.85+1.32vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.23vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.78-3.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76+0.21vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-4.29vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.92-3.12vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.93-3.88vs Predicted
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16Boston College4.89-8.80vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.33-7.26vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida4.10-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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8.93Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.73Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.78Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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10.33SUNY Maritime College4.150.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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13.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.71Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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8.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.88Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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11.12College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida4.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Clinton Hayes | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Nick Dugdale | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 21.8% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Murray | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Robert Vann | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Gary Herring | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 20.5% |
| Michael Menninger | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Cy Thompson | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 15.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Mitchell Hall | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.