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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.61+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.86+4.48vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.50+5.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+4.26vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.80+0.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+2.23vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-3.90vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.34+3.01vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-1.64vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.69-1.97vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College-0.27+1.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.35vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.49-6.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-5.56vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.70-5.23vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Boston College1.616.8%1st Place
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6.48Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University1.504.5%1st Place
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8.26Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College2.1011.7%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island1.808.9%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.203.9%1st Place
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4.1Stanford University2.6421.1%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University1.316.7%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.694.0%1st Place
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13.67Dartmouth College-0.271.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.5%1st Place
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7.59Northwestern University1.496.2%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.083.8%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island0.702.3%1st Place
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14.36Olin College of Engineering-0.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ness | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julia Wyatt | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.1% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 11.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 28.8% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Shea Smith | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| John Mason | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.