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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.32+1.89vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.54+0.43vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.30+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.66+0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-1.94vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.71-1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-0.09-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.89University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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3.43Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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5.07Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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4.06University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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5.85Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.53University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 19.3% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 15.5% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Rush | 21.2% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Abigail Barnes | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| James Hewitt | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 25.9% |
| Colin Mackay | 14.1% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 33.1% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.