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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+2.46vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.71+3.02vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-0.58+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.32-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.14+0.61vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.54-3.02vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-3.91vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.50-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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5.02Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.75Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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5.61University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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2.98Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.09Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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7.75University of Notre Dame-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 18.6% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 23.0% | 22.1% | 3.7% |
| Addison Amstutz | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 20.6% | 1.8% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 17.5% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Zach Nerod | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 38.9% | 5.3% |
| Andrew Rush | 22.5% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Greve | 22.7% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabriela Yelton | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.