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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+2.46vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.54+1.00vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.14+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.32-1.67vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.58-1.26vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.71-1.95vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.50-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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3.0Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.06Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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3.33University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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4.74Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.05Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Notre Dame-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 17.9% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Rush | 23.5% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Greve | 22.8% | 20.9% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Zach Nerod | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 20.3% | 36.9% | 6.9% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 17.7% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Addison Amstutz | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 18.8% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 2.0% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 2.7% |
| Gabriela Yelton | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 6.3% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.