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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+6.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.48vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.61+3.17vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+3.68vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.86+0.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33+0.10vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-3.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+0.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.69-2.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20-3.14vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.34-1.41vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.49-6.71vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College-0.27-2.22vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08Stanford University2.6419.5%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.505.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Rhode Island1.808.4%1st Place
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7.17Boston College1.617.2%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
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6.1Yale University1.8610.5%1st Place
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8.29Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University1.334.8%1st Place
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5.31Dartmouth College2.1013.2%1st Place
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10.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.7%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.694.8%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.0%1st Place
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11.59Connecticut College0.341.9%1st Place
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7.29Northwestern University1.496.6%1st Place
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12.78Dartmouth College-0.271.4%1st Place
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13.52Olin College of Engineering-0.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 19.5% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Sheridan | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Graham Ness | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 8.8% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 13.2% |
| Shea Smith | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 28.7% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.