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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.32+2.41vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.54+1.11vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.17vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.71+1.20vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.30-0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo0.20-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.66-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.50-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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3.11Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.17Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.2Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.54Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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5.14University of Michigan-0.660.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Notre Dame-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Maas-Hull | 18.1% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Rush | 21.7% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Greve | 22.1% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 29.4% | 3.7% |
| Abigail Barnes | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 21.3% | 16.0% | 1.5% |
| Colin Mackay | 16.5% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| James Hewitt | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 31.1% | 3.0% |
| Gabriela Yelton | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 90.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.