← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.50+7.27vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.10+3.45vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.80+3.22vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.33+4.03vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.64-1.02vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.20+2.87vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University1.49-0.75vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.61-1.51vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College0.27+1.39vs Predicted
-
11Salve Regina University1.31-2.91vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.69-3.40vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.86-6.86vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College-0.27-1.06vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-3.85vs Predicted
-
16Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.27Tufts University1.504.5%1st Place
-
5.45Dartmouth College2.1012.9%1st Place
-
6.22University of Rhode Island1.8010.5%1st Place
-
8.03Brown University1.336.0%1st Place
-
3.98Stanford University2.6419.2%1st Place
-
8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.204.0%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.9%1st Place
-
7.25Northwestern University1.496.6%1st Place
-
7.49Boston College1.616.2%1st Place
-
11.39Connecticut College0.271.8%1st Place
-
8.09Salve Regina University1.314.9%1st Place
-
8.6Northeastern University1.694.9%1st Place
-
6.14Yale University1.8610.3%1st Place
-
12.94Dartmouth College-0.271.4%1st Place
-
11.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.491.3%1st Place
-
13.53Olin College of Engineering-0.690.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sheridan | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Young | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Hannah Freeman | 19.2% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Wyatt | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack Derry | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Shea Smith | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Graham Ness | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 27.9% |
| Aidan Brown | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.