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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.54+2.07vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.30+2.58vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.71+2.16vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.51-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo0.20-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.32-2.58vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.66-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.50-0.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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4.58Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.16Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.18Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.71University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Michigan-0.660.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Notre Dame-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rush | 24.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Barnes | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 2.3% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 30.2% | 3.8% |
| Jack Greve | 20.0% | 22.6% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Colin Mackay | 14.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 18.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| James Hewitt | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 28.9% | 3.0% |
| Gabriela Yelton | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.