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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.72+5.62vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77+4.41vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.15+5.58vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.20+4.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.40+5.40vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-0.49vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.21-2.64vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.21-0.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+1.64vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.68-4.18vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.98vs Predicted
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13Williams College-0.90-0.32vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-2.71vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.15-6.35vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.14-2.34vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.17vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.42-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62University of Vermont0.729.3%1st Place
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6.41Northeastern University0.7710.4%1st Place
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8.58Northeastern University0.156.2%1st Place
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8.63Maine Maritime Academy0.205.2%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.8%1st Place
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11.4University of New Hampshire-0.402.5%1st Place
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6.51Bates College0.679.3%1st Place
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5.36Salve Regina University1.2112.8%1st Place
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8.49Maine Maritime Academy0.215.1%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.9%1st Place
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6.82University of New Hampshire0.688.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.154.3%1st Place
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12.68Williams College-0.901.7%1st Place
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11.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.1%1st Place
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8.65Bowdoin College0.155.9%1st Place
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13.66Bates College-1.141.6%1st Place
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13.83Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.4%1st Place
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14.17Middlebury College-1.421.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| David Perez | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Preston Anderson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 19.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 22.0% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.