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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.54+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.32+1.79vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.41vs Predicted
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4University of Toledo0.20+0.03vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.30-0.06vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-1.14+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.40vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.71-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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3.41Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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4.94Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.58Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Rush | 20.5% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 16.0% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Jack Greve | 20.2% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Colin Mackay | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Abigail Barnes | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 11.2% |
| Zach Nerod | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 42.6% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 22.0% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.