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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+2.92vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.54+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.32+0.78vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.51-0.52vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.30-0.08vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.71-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.09-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.14-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.92University of Toledo0.200.1%1st Place
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3.39Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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3.48Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.92Grand Valley State University-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.63Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Notre Dame-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Michigan-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Rush | 20.2% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 16.8% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Jack Greve | 18.9% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Abigail Barnes | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 11.6% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 26.0% |
| Katherine Schneeberger | 10.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 9.6% |
| Zach Nerod | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.