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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+5.42vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.72+4.66vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.21+2.37vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.21+4.60vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.67+1.62vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.20+2.45vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.68-0.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.40+2.08vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+1.49vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.15-2.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.15-3.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.86vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-2.88vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.94vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.14-2.60vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-4.31vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.42-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Northeastern University0.779.4%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont0.729.4%1st Place
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5.37Salve Regina University1.2113.0%1st Place
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8.6Maine Maritime Academy0.215.6%1st Place
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6.62Bates College0.679.8%1st Place
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8.45Maine Maritime Academy0.205.8%1st Place
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6.81University of New Hampshire0.689.8%1st Place
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6.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.728.6%1st Place
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11.08University of New Hampshire-0.403.2%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.1%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College0.156.3%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.154.9%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.8%1st Place
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11.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.9%1st Place
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14.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.2%1st Place
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13.4Bates College-1.141.0%1st Place
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12.69Williams College-0.901.9%1st Place
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14.37Middlebury College-1.421.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| David Perez | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
| Preston Anderson | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 24.2% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 18.3% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.