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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo0.20+2.58vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.54+1.08vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University0.51+0.12vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.71+1.24vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.32-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.66-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.45-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of Toledo0.200.2%1st Place
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3.08Ohio State University0.540.2%1st Place
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3.12Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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5.24Marquette University-0.710.1%1st Place
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5.01Grand Valley State University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Notre Dame0.320.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Michigan-0.660.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Notre Dame-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Mackay | 16.4% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Rush | 22.3% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Greve | 23.7% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Conor Daniel Claflin | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 23.4% | 9.4% |
| Addison Amstutz | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 22.7% | 20.1% | 6.3% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 18.0% | 19.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| James Hewitt | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 25.6% | 8.4% |
| Conor Bradley | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 12.0% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.