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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+5.35vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+8.09vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72+3.60vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.21+4.50vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.67+1.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.53vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.90+5.52vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.40+3.16vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.20-0.43vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.21-4.65vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.15-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.68-5.07vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.15-4.34vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.14-0.48vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-3.83vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08-4.28vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-3.14vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.42-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Northeastern University0.7710.7%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.8%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont0.728.5%1st Place
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8.5Maine Maritime Academy0.216.1%1st Place
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6.61Bates College0.679.6%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.8%1st Place
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12.52Williams College-0.902.0%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire-0.402.2%1st Place
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8.57Maine Maritime Academy0.204.8%1st Place
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5.35Salve Regina University1.2114.4%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.155.7%1st Place
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6.93University of New Hampshire0.687.6%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College0.155.3%1st Place
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13.52Bates College-1.141.7%1st Place
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11.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.6%1st Place
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11.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.8%1st Place
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13.86Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.1%1st Place
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14.31Middlebury College-1.421.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Potter | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 14.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Preston Anderson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| David Perez | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 23.2% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.