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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+5.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.72+4.63vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.21+2.51vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.20+4.37vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.77+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.40+5.39vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.68-0.14vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.21+0.37vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.15-0.27vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+1.46vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+3.00vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College0.50-4.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.63vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42+0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-3.67vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.67-9.35vs Predicted
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17Williams College-0.90-4.20vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.14-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.7210.5%1st Place
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6.63University of Vermont0.729.0%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University1.2111.5%1st Place
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8.37Maine Maritime Academy0.206.4%1st Place
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6.44Northeastern University0.779.1%1st Place
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11.39University of New Hampshire-0.402.5%1st Place
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6.86University of New Hampshire0.688.9%1st Place
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8.37Maine Maritime Academy0.215.8%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University0.155.5%1st Place
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11.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.5%1st Place
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14.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.1%1st Place
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7.61Bowdoin College0.507.2%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.6%1st Place
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14.46Middlebury College-1.421.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.9%1st Place
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6.65Bates College0.678.5%1st Place
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12.8Williams College-0.902.1%1st Place
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13.5Bates College-1.141.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| David Perez | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 23.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| William Procter | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 27.4% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.