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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+3.96vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.11+2.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.75+2.83vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.59+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.37+4.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+4.43vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.05-1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.43-1.28vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.01-3.71vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.80-4.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.07-2.83vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University-0.58-2.23vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.970.00vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-2.11vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.55-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Northeastern University1.1812.7%1st Place
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4.76Tufts University1.1114.9%1st Place
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5.83Brown University0.759.2%1st Place
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6.57Fairfield University0.598.6%1st Place
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9.33University of New Hampshire-0.373.0%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.732.0%1st Place
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5.95Bowdoin College0.059.8%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University0.437.3%1st Place
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5.29Boston University1.0110.5%1st Place
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5.19University of Vermont0.8012.2%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University-0.074.4%1st Place
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9.77Salve Regina University-0.582.6%1st Place
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13.0Middlebury College-1.970.6%1st Place
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11.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.201.1%1st Place
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12.15Bates College-1.551.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emery Diemar | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| Kevin McNeill | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 12.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Kate Adams | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 41.8% |
| Cole Perra | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 18.9% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 21.8% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.