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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+5.52vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.50+5.71vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.21+2.35vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.51vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.15+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49+4.20vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.67-1.40vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+2.63vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+0.05vs Predicted
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11Williams College-0.90+1.77vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.68-4.98vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42+1.48vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.09vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.20-6.46vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.40-4.78vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.14-3.39vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.21-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Northeastern University0.779.3%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College0.506.0%1st Place
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5.35Salve Regina University1.2113.8%1st Place
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6.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.5%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University0.155.5%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont0.729.2%1st Place
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11.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.9%1st Place
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6.6Bates College0.679.8%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.8%1st Place
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10.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.5%1st Place
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12.77Williams College-0.901.6%1st Place
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7.02University of New Hampshire0.687.8%1st Place
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14.48Middlebury College-1.420.9%1st Place
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14.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.1%1st Place
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8.54Maine Maritime Academy0.206.2%1st Place
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11.22University of New Hampshire-0.402.9%1st Place
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13.61Bates College-1.141.4%1st Place
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8.46Maine Maritime Academy0.215.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 13.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Ted Lutton | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Perez | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 29.6% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 23.5% |
| Ella Beauregard | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.