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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.21+4.48vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.72+3.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+2.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.50+2.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.15+2.76vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.67-0.33vs Predicted
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8Williams College-0.90+4.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+2.69vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.40+1.25vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.20-2.40vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-0.79vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.76vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42+0.22vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.75vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.21-7.47vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.14-3.53vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Salve Regina University1.2112.7%1st Place
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6.34Northeastern University0.779.8%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont0.728.6%1st Place
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6.87University of New Hampshire0.688.6%1st Place
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7.57Bowdoin College0.507.8%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University0.155.6%1st Place
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6.67Bates College0.678.8%1st Place
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12.58Williams College-0.902.6%1st Place
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11.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.082.5%1st Place
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11.25University of New Hampshire-0.403.1%1st Place
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8.6Maine Maritime Academy0.205.5%1st Place
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11.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.492.6%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.5%1st Place
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14.22Middlebury College-1.421.1%1st Place
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14.25Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.3%1st Place
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8.53Maine Maritime Academy0.214.7%1st Place
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13.47Bates College-1.141.5%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 10.8% |
| David Perez | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Downey | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| William Procter | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 28.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 24.6% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 16.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.