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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.77+5.27vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.21+3.38vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.67+3.73vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.08+7.68vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.50+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.72+0.55vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.42+7.34vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15+2.20vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.15-0.31vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.90+2.73vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.21-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.49-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.40-1.76vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.20-5.04vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.68-7.98vs Predicted
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16Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-2.09vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.14-3.43vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-11.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Northeastern University0.779.7%1st Place
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5.38Salve Regina University1.2114.4%1st Place
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6.73Bates College0.678.8%1st Place
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11.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.081.9%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College0.506.7%1st Place
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6.55University of Vermont0.729.4%1st Place
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14.34Middlebury College-1.421.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.153.9%1st Place
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8.69Northeastern University0.155.5%1st Place
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12.73Williams College-0.902.0%1st Place
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8.4Maine Maritime Academy0.215.5%1st Place
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11.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.493.1%1st Place
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11.24University of New Hampshire-0.403.2%1st Place
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8.96Maine Maritime Academy0.204.9%1st Place
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7.02University of New Hampshire0.688.1%1st Place
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13.91Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.361.5%1st Place
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13.57Bates College-1.141.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.729.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Perez | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Alex Kitay | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 28.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Krim | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 10.8% |
| Lochlann Ludwig | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Aidan Downey | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Ella Beauregard | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 22.7% |
| Laura Colgan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.