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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+6.35vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+3.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+4.56vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70+5.63vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.56+0.48vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78+2.93vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.33+0.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.26-5.37vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+2.48vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.76-5.78vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.08-4.91vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+0.31vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99+0.20vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68-1.91vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.61-3.06vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-4.76vs Predicted
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18Williams College-2.48-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of New Hampshire-0.006.5%1st Place
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5.78Salve Regina University0.4610.0%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.036.3%1st Place
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9.63Bates College-0.703.6%1st Place
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5.48University of Vermont0.5610.5%1st Place
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7.38Maine Maritime Academy0.036.3%1st Place
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9.93University of New Hampshire-0.782.9%1st Place
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8.43Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.7%1st Place
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3.63Northeastern University1.2622.2%1st Place
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12.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.4%1st Place
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5.22Bowdoin College0.7612.2%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University0.086.8%1st Place
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13.31Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.1%1st Place
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14.2Middlebury College-1.991.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.4%1st Place
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12.94Bates College-1.611.0%1st Place
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12.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.7%1st Place
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15.27Williams College-2.480.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 22.2% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Christine Reimer | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 20.3% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 5.3% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.