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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.56+4.57vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.76+3.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.26+0.74vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+4.97vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.36vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.08-0.99vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.03-1.68vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.70-0.25vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58+2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68+1.22vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.61-0.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.99vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-6.63vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.99-1.84vs Predicted
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17Williams College-2.48-1.57vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57University of Vermont0.5610.3%1st Place
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5.2Bowdoin College0.7613.9%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.2620.3%1st Place
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5.86Salve Regina University0.469.5%1st Place
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9.97University of New Hampshire-0.783.3%1st Place
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7.47University of New Hampshire-0.005.9%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.037.2%1st Place
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7.01Northeastern University0.087.9%1st Place
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7.32Maine Maritime Academy0.035.8%1st Place
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9.75Bates College-0.703.1%1st Place
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13.27Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.2%1st Place
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13.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.1%1st Place
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12.85Bates College-1.611.5%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.7%1st Place
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8.37Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.8%1st Place
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14.16Middlebury College-1.991.1%1st Place
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15.43Williams College-2.480.4%1st Place
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12.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 20.3% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| James Sullivan | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Denker | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.4% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 36.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.