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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.56+3.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.76+2.03vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.54vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+0.77vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.66vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.70-0.30vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-2.49vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68+1.38vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.61-0.06vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.99+0.37vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-2.98vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-3.74vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.58-3.76vs Predicted
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18Williams College-2.48-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Northeastern University1.2621.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Vermont0.5612.0%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College0.7613.3%1st Place
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7.54University of New Hampshire-0.005.7%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University0.4610.0%1st Place
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7.43Maine Maritime Academy0.035.6%1st Place
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7.05Northeastern University0.088.0%1st Place
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9.92University of New Hampshire-0.782.6%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.8%1st Place
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9.7Bates College-0.703.9%1st Place
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8.51Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.7%1st Place
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13.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.680.7%1st Place
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12.94Bates College-1.611.2%1st Place
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14.37Middlebury College-1.990.9%1st Place
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12.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.8%1st Place
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12.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.2%1st Place
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13.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.581.2%1st Place
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15.32Williams College-2.480.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 21.0% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 20.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Norman Walker | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.