← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan-0.88+4.36vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University0.31+1.41vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University0.52+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.78-1.34vs Predicted
-
5Grand Valley State University-1.43+1.30vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-0.59-1.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Toledo-0.09-2.92vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-1.50-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36University of Michigan-0.880.0%1st Place
-
3.41Ohio State University0.310.2%1st Place
-
3.05Western Michigan University0.520.2%1st Place
-
2.66Marquette University0.780.3%1st Place
-
6.3Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
-
4.87University of Notre Dame-0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
-
6.26University of Notre Dame-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Lipinski | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 15.3% |
| Emily Schneider | 16.7% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Hilton | 22.7% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Tom Smuchush | 29.4% | 23.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 35.6% |
| Bizzy Berg | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Drew Blackburn | 12.6% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Devitt | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 22.9% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.