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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.82vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.56+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+5.83vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.05-0.91vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.08+1.03vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.03+0.28vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.70+1.50vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.57vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.58vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42+0.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68+0.08vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.61-1.22vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.99-1.13vs Predicted
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16Williams College-2.48-0.99vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-8.60vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.01-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Northeastern University1.2620.9%1st Place
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5.77Salve Regina University0.4610.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Vermont0.569.7%1st Place
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9.83University of New Hampshire-0.783.6%1st Place
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4.09Bowdoin College0.0517.8%1st Place
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7.03Northeastern University0.086.5%1st Place
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7.28Maine Maritime Academy0.036.0%1st Place
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9.5Bates College-0.703.8%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.036.0%1st Place
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7.42University of New Hampshire-0.006.3%1st Place
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11.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.5%1st Place
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12.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.5%1st Place
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13.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.0%1st Place
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12.78Bates College-1.610.5%1st Place
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13.87Middlebury College-1.990.5%1st Place
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15.01Williams College-2.480.5%1st Place
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8.4Maine Maritime Academy-0.333.6%1st Place
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16.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 20.9% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Ethan Baker | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 11.7% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 23.6% | 23.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.