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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.78+7.97vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.26-0.19vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.08+2.11vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70+3.44vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.52vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.03-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.56-3.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.69vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-2.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+0.11vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.05vs Predicted
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14Williams College-2.48+1.07vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.61-2.27vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68-3.19vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.01-0.77vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Bowdoin College0.0518.2%1st Place
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9.97University of New Hampshire-0.782.5%1st Place
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5.7Salve Regina University0.469.8%1st Place
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3.81Northeastern University1.2619.1%1st Place
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7.11Northeastern University0.086.9%1st Place
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9.44Bates College-0.702.9%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.9%1st Place
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7.33Maine Maritime Academy0.035.5%1st Place
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5.52University of Vermont0.5611.0%1st Place
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7.31University of New Hampshire-0.006.7%1st Place
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8.35Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.8%1st Place
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12.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.2%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.5%1st Place
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15.07Williams College-2.480.5%1st Place
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12.73Bates College-1.611.4%1st Place
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12.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.1%1st Place
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16.23Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.010.2%1st Place
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14.01Middlebury College-1.990.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 18.2% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 19.1% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Collins | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 23.8% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 4.6% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 50.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.