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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.76vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+2.12vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.56+1.42vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.03+2.42vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.78+3.03vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.70+1.64vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.08-1.91vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.59vs Predicted
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11Bates College-1.61+1.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-0.05vs Predicted
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13Williams College-2.48+1.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-1.62vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.99-1.16vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-8.48vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68-4.05vs Predicted
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18Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.01-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76Northeastern University1.2620.1%1st Place
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4.12Bowdoin College0.0517.2%1st Place
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5.75Salve Regina University0.469.6%1st Place
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5.42University of Vermont0.5612.2%1st Place
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7.42Maine Maritime Academy0.036.3%1st Place
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7.25University of New Hampshire-0.005.7%1st Place
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10.03University of New Hampshire-0.782.6%1st Place
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9.64Bates College-0.702.9%1st Place
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7.09Northeastern University0.086.5%1st Place
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8.41Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.4%1st Place
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12.62Bates College-1.611.4%1st Place
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11.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.8%1st Place
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14.94Williams College-2.480.6%1st Place
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12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.9%1st Place
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13.84Middlebury College-1.990.5%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.2%1st Place
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15.92Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.010.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 20.1% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Denker | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 23.6% | 24.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Evelyn Lane | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 12.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.