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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.78+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.88+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Toledo-0.09+1.02vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.52-0.95vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.31-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.59-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.50-0.62vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.43-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Marquette University0.780.3%1st Place
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5.44University of Michigan-0.880.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Toledo-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.05Western Michigan University0.520.2%1st Place
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3.37Ohio State University0.310.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Notre Dame-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.38University of Notre Dame-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.23Grand Valley State University-1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Smuchush | 30.3% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Lipinski | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 22.1% | 15.3% |
| Drew Blackburn | 12.5% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Thomas Hilton | 21.4% | 22.8% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Emily Schneider | 17.0% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Bizzy Berg | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Devitt | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 22.5% | 39.6% |
| Gary MIcu Jr | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 24.7% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.