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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+4.07vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.46+4.47vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+2.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.65vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.51vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.07+1.92vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.73-1.36vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.28-0.87vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.59+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.34-0.06vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45-4.26vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-5.05vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.07University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.47Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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3.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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7.92University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.64Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.13Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.21Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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6.74Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.95Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.48North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Max Neubelt | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.8% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 1.9% |
| Luke Miller | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 4.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 41.4% | 11.5% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 9.8% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.