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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.05+3.06vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.26+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.56+2.57vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.03+3.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.46+0.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.08+0.20vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.70+1.72vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.69vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.49vs Predicted
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11Williams College-2.48+4.09vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68+0.84vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.61-0.31vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-5.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-2.90vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-4.02vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.01-0.94vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Bowdoin College0.0518.6%1st Place
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3.7Northeastern University1.2622.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Vermont0.5610.0%1st Place
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7.24Maine Maritime Academy0.035.2%1st Place
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5.71Salve Regina University0.4611.3%1st Place
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7.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.1%1st Place
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7.2Northeastern University0.085.3%1st Place
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9.72Bates College-0.702.9%1st Place
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9.69University of New Hampshire-0.782.8%1st Place
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7.51University of New Hampshire-0.005.1%1st Place
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15.09Williams College-2.480.3%1st Place
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12.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.3%1st Place
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12.69Bates College-1.611.3%1st Place
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8.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.5%1st Place
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12.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.5%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.2%1st Place
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16.06Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.010.4%1st Place
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13.88Middlebury College-1.991.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 18.6% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 22.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Anne Berg | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| James Sullivan | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 22.7% | 24.1% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 18.4% | 47.3% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.