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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+3.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.75+3.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.01+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.80+1.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.43+1.70vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05-0.04vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.59-0.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.11-3.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.73+1.56vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.37-0.83vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.07-2.77vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.55+0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.20-1.11vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.58-4.24vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.97-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Northeastern University1.1813.4%1st Place
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5.73Brown University0.759.8%1st Place
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5.31Boston University1.0112.3%1st Place
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5.26University of Vermont0.8010.5%1st Place
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6.7Tufts University0.437.7%1st Place
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5.96Bowdoin College0.0510.5%1st Place
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6.38Fairfield University0.598.3%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.1113.4%1st Place
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10.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.731.6%1st Place
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9.17University of New Hampshire-0.373.4%1st Place
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8.23Harvard University-0.073.8%1st Place
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12.12Bates College-1.551.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.200.9%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University-0.582.9%1st Place
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12.96Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 13.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emery Diemar | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 10.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patricia Winssinger | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Benesch | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Xavier Ayala Vermont | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 21.3% | 23.2% |
| Cole Perra | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| Emilia Perriera | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 3.4% |
| Kate Adams | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.