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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+5.01vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.61+9.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+5.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+6.87vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.86vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+2.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+1.59vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+2.04vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.61-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+1.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University4.28-2.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-0.95vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-4.84vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.74-7.79vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-1.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy4.16-7.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.17vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.64-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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11.38Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.59Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.04Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.38Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.16St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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13.41SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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10.79Stanford University3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Alan Alkins | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
| John Stokes | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ted Green | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 24.7% |
| Martin Sterling | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% |
| Peter Stemler | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.