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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.26+2.75vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.08+4.98vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.46+2.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.05+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.56+0.53vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.03+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.81vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.70-0.22vs Predicted
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11Williams College-2.48+4.23vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-3.53vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.61-0.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.96vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.68-2.21vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-3.85vs Predicted
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17Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.01-1.00vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.99-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Northeastern University1.2621.2%1st Place
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6.98Northeastern University0.087.0%1st Place
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5.82Salve Regina University0.468.9%1st Place
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4.08Bowdoin College0.0518.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont0.5610.7%1st Place
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7.2Maine Maritime Academy0.035.9%1st Place
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7.35University of New Hampshire-0.005.5%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.035.9%1st Place
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9.81University of New Hampshire-0.783.0%1st Place
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9.78Bates College-0.702.7%1st Place
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15.23Williams College-2.480.4%1st Place
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8.47Maine Maritime Academy-0.334.0%1st Place
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12.76Bates College-1.611.1%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.2%1st Place
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12.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.681.1%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.6%1st Place
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16.0Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.010.4%1st Place
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13.91Middlebury College-1.991.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Monaghan | 21.2% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Denker | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 18.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Collins | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Colby Green | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 23.2% | 25.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Baker | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Cade Lanzafame | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Norman Walker | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 45.6% |
| Evelyn Lane | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.