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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.38+5.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.41vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.46+3.66vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.53vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-0.84vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-1.31vs Predicted
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8Washington College2.45-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.07-1.09vs Predicted
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10Hampton University2.28-2.69vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.59-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.34-2.15vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.66Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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6.03Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.69Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.65Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.91University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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7.31Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.21Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.49North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lawless | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 9.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.6% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Bess | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 1.6% |
| Luke Miller | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 3.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 40.3% | 11.7% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 10.1% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.