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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.43vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+4.46vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.01+1.13vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.46+1.78vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.73-0.01vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70-1.31vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-1.15vs Predicted
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9Villanova University1.59+0.25vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.34-0.07vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.28-3.73vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.07-4.18vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.66vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.3%1st Place
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6.46Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.78Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.99Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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5.69Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.85Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.25Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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7.27Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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11.34Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.48North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 25.2% | 20.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Re | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 1.8% |
| Luke Miller | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 19.2% | 4.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Charlie Bess | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 40.6% | 11.3% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 10.1% | 80.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.