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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+4.34vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.52vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.39+7.07vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.02+5.10vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.47+5.69vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.08vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+4.16vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+2.25vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81-0.02vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+0.39vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.24-2.75vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.12-3.05vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.32-5.64vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.88-4.38vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.57-3.31vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.47-5.30vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-3.67vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.54-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34University of Rhode Island2.7813.4%1st Place
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7.52Boston University1.798.2%1st Place
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10.07Jacksonville University1.394.2%1st Place
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9.1University of Wisconsin2.025.8%1st Place
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10.69Eckerd College1.473.5%1st Place
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7.08SUNY Maritime College2.519.8%1st Place
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11.16Catholic University of America1.312.9%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University1.574.8%1st Place
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8.98Old Dominion University1.816.5%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College2.247.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.124.7%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami2.328.0%1st Place
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9.62Cornell University1.885.4%1st Place
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11.69University of Michigan1.572.9%1st Place
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10.7Hampton University1.473.9%1st Place
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13.33University of South Florida0.901.9%1st Place
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10.52College of Charleston1.544.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| John McKenna | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Alden Grimes | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 24.3% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.