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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.39+8.98vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.57+8.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+7.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.54+6.49vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.24+3.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90+6.25vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.57+3.57vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.02+0.05vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.47+0.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.44vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.88-2.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-3.97vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-9.56vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-8.84vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America1.31-5.85vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-7.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.98Jacksonville University1.394.8%1st Place
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10.28Fordham University1.573.9%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont1.584.3%1st Place
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10.49College of Charleston1.544.4%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.246.5%1st Place
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7.27SUNY Maritime College2.518.1%1st Place
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13.25University of South Florida0.901.6%1st Place
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11.57University of Michigan1.573.2%1st Place
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9.05University of Wisconsin2.025.8%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College1.474.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston University1.797.3%1st Place
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9.4Cornell University1.885.2%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University2.126.0%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University1.814.5%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island2.7812.7%1st Place
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7.16University of Miami2.3210.5%1st Place
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11.15Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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10.97Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% |
| Alden Grimes | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 25.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Sean Tallman | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.7% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.