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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.01+4.08vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+4.47vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+2.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+2.93vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.07+2.88vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.59+3.25vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.67vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.73-2.12vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.28-1.69vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University-1.09+3.45vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+0.50vs Predicted
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12University of Buffalo1.34-2.19vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-7.40vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.46-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.47Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.96Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.93Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.25Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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3.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.3%1st Place
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5.88Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.31Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.45North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.5Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.54Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stessing | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Siemers | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Adam | 26.0% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 10.4% | 81.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 16.7% | 41.0% | 12.3% |
| Luke Miller | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 3.4% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Buhl | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.