Race 5A

maisa-saisa

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Bradley Adam 25.3% 19.7% 16.0% 10.3% 9.0% 7.4% 5.1% 2.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Stessing 12.6% 13.1% 12.2% 11.3% 11.7% 10.2% 7.3% 7.7% 5.7% 4.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Lee Dumaliang 8.6% 10.3% 9.4% 10.4% 8.5% 9.5% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 7.8% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Eric Siegel 5.5% 7.8% 9.4% 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 9.1% 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 5.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Charlie Bess 3.6% 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 6.9% 5.9% 9.4% 8.1% 8.5% 11.0% 12.1% 10.7% 5.8% 0.7%
Ben Buhl 6.7% 5.3% 8.2% 8.0% 9.5% 8.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 8.1% 5.7% 2.6% 0.3%
Timothy Siemers 10.4% 9.7% 8.9% 11.1% 9.7% 9.5% 8.2% 9.9% 9.5% 5.1% 4.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Daniel Lawless 6.5% 7.7% 7.2% 7.5% 8.9% 8.5% 9.6% 7.4% 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 7.1% 3.3% 0.2%
Veronica Maccari 5.6% 5.0% 6.0% 7.8% 6.8% 8.9% 8.5% 10.6% 10.5% 10.5% 9.7% 6.6% 3.1% 0.4%
Max Neubelt 9.4% 9.3% 10.5% 10.6% 10.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.2% 8.2% 4.8% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Luke Miller 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.4% 5.1% 4.4% 6.5% 6.7% 8.4% 13.6% 20.2% 19.1% 3.3%
Domenic Re 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 5.0% 4.9% 7.0% 6.6% 8.1% 13.3% 13.7% 15.7% 11.2% 2.7%
Nichole Palen 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 1.0% 0.8% 2.3% 4.2% 8.6% 80.5%
Kimannee Simon 0.8% 1.2% 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 6.6% 8.1% 14.7% 41.0% 11.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.