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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+4.58vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.11vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.02+5.86vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+3.20vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+4.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+3.04vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.39+3.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88+1.37vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.47+1.54vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-2.46vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America1.31+0.34vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston1.54-1.49vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-2.59vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.57-2.55vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.47-4.25vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-7.70vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-3.66vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.58-7.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58University of Rhode Island2.7813.4%1st Place
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7.11SUNY Maritime College2.5110.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Wisconsin2.026.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Miami2.329.6%1st Place
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9.13Harvard University2.124.5%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University1.815.6%1st Place
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10.05Jacksonville University1.394.4%1st Place
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9.37Cornell University1.885.8%1st Place
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10.54Eckerd College1.473.5%1st Place
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7.54Boston University1.798.6%1st Place
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11.34Catholic University of America1.312.5%1st Place
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10.51College of Charleston1.544.0%1st Place
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10.41Fordham University1.573.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Michigan1.573.1%1st Place
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10.75Hampton University1.473.6%1st Place
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8.3Bowdoin College2.036.5%1st Place
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13.34University of South Florida0.901.6%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 24.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.