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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+4.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.28+5.04vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.46+3.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.73+1.94vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo1.34+3.91vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45-0.54vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38-1.14vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-3.83vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.07-2.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-5.34vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.59-2.80vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.60-1.64vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University-1.09-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.04Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.63Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.94Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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3.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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9.91University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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6.46Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.86Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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9.2Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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13.47North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Buhl | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.5% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Miller | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 4.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Lawless | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bess | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 0.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 1.9% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 40.4% | 11.7% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 9.9% | 80.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.