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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.02+7.07vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+2.91vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.35vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.47+4.83vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+1.99vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88+1.53vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.90+4.18vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.78-4.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.58-0.48vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.57-1.73vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.81-5.08vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.54-4.50vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.39-5.96vs Predicted
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17Catholic University of America1.31-5.76vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34University of Miami2.328.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Wisconsin2.025.9%1st Place
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7.71Boston University1.798.0%1st Place
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6.91SUNY Maritime College2.518.3%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
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10.83Eckerd College1.473.9%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University2.126.2%1st Place
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9.53Cornell University1.884.7%1st Place
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13.18University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island2.7814.5%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
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10.31Fordham University1.574.5%1st Place
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11.27University of Michigan1.573.6%1st Place
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8.92Old Dominion University1.815.5%1st Place
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10.5College of Charleston1.543.8%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University1.393.7%1st Place
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11.24Catholic University of America1.313.5%1st Place
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10.87Hampton University1.473.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 25.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| John McKenna | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.