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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.38vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.38+3.89vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.46+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+0.21vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45+0.83vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28-0.09vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.73-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.07-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.34-0.07vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.70-4.97vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.59-2.81vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.09+0.42vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.60-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.3%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.71Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.83Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.91Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.83Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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7.9University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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9.93University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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6.03Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.19Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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13.42North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.35Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 25.2% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ben Buhl | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bess | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Miller | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 3.2% |
| Timothy Siemers | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Re | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 80.4% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 41.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.