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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+4.63vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+7.01vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.25vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.16vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.39+4.96vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.61vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.54+3.55vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+2.58vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.47+1.71vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90+3.44vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.66vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.02-3.03vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America1.31-1.66vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-4.05vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-5.80vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.57-4.67vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.47-6.30vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.88-8.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63University of Rhode Island2.7812.3%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.124.6%1st Place
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7.25University of Miami2.328.7%1st Place
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7.16SUNY Maritime College2.518.5%1st Place
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9.96Jacksonville University1.394.3%1st Place
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7.61Boston University1.798.5%1st Place
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10.55College of Charleston1.544.2%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont1.584.5%1st Place
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10.71Hampton University1.473.2%1st Place
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13.44University of South Florida0.901.8%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.037.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Wisconsin2.026.1%1st Place
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11.34Catholic University of America1.313.8%1st Place
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9.95Fordham University1.574.9%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University1.815.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Michigan1.573.9%1st Place
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10.7Eckerd College1.473.5%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University1.885.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Hasson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 25.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| John McKenna | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.