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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.46+5.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.43vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.70+2.95vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+0.24vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.730.00vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.07-0.24vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45-2.27vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo1.34-0.07vs Predicted
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11Villanova University1.59-1.80vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.38-5.08vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University-1.09+0.43vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.60-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Christopher Newport University2.460.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.1%1st Place
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5.95Eckerd College2.700.1%1st Place
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.0Old Dominion University2.730.1%1st Place
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6.98Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.76University of South Florida2.070.1%1st Place
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6.73Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Buffalo1.340.0%1st Place
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9.2Villanova University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.43North Carolina State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.36Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Buhl | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Siemers | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 23.5% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Bess | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Luke Miller | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 20.7% | 20.0% | 3.3% |
| Domenic Re | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Nichole Palen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 8.7% | 81.2% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 39.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.