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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+8.14vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.23vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.54+6.78vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.58+4.50vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+4.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.88+1.27vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.47+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.02-0.98vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.39-1.15vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-3.66vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.57-2.56vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.79-7.33vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-5.75vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.90-3.70vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.47-7.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14Harvard University2.125.6%1st Place
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7.02SUNY Maritime College2.519.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Miami2.327.8%1st Place
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10.78College of Charleston1.543.4%1st Place
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5.63University of Rhode Island2.7813.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.584.5%1st Place
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11.16Catholic University of America1.313.6%1st Place
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9.27Cornell University1.885.8%1st Place
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10.68Eckerd College1.473.6%1st Place
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9.02University of Wisconsin2.025.7%1st Place
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9.85Jacksonville University1.394.9%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.037.1%1st Place
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8.86Old Dominion University1.816.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Michigan1.573.6%1st Place
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7.67Boston University1.797.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University1.574.1%1st Place
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13.3University of South Florida0.901.7%1st Place
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10.86Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Hasson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 13.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| John McKenna | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 24.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.